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Trump and Geopolitics
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Wildflower



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PostPosted: Tue Dec 13, 2016 9:18 pm    Post subject: No comparison! Reply with quote

Come on Murat, you can hardly compare the conquest of space or energy issues with sexual shenanigans. And JFK was a lot classier than Trump, whose vulgarity knows no bounds. Not that I condone or excuse JFK's marital infidelities, but you are really comparing apples and oranges, and the comparison is unfair to JFK's memory.
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Xuân Phong



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PostPosted: Tue Dec 13, 2016 9:39 pm    Post subject: Trump's business ties are already jeopardizing US interests Reply with quote

How Donald Trump's business ties are already jeopardizing U.S. interests
The president-elect is issuing statements to world leaders that radically depart from U.S. foreign policy, and benefit his family’s corporate empire.

Donald Trump hasn’t been sworn in yet, but he is already making decisions and issuing statements to world leaders that radically depart from American foreign policy, all to the benefit of his family’s corporate empire. Because of this, the next president of the United States is already vulnerable to undue influence by other nations, including through bribery and even blackmail.

Given the vast scope of the clashes between the Trumps’ extensive business dealings and the interests of America, the president-elect vowed during the campaign to eliminate potential conflicts by severing ties to his company—yet, with only weeks to go until he takes the oath of office, he hasn’t laid out a credible plan. Trump’s sole suggestion to date—a “blind trust” run by his children—would not eliminate the conflicts, given that the money generated would still go to his family. Moreover, such a trust would be anything but blind: If Trump Tower Moscow goes under construction, Trump will see it while in Russia and know that his kids are making millions of dollars from it. That is why foreign leaders hoping to curry favor will do everything they can to help Trump’s family erect more buildings, sell more jewelry and make money through any means possible. Even if the family steps away from its company while Trump is president, every nation on Earth will know that doing business with the Trump Organization will one day benefit the family. The only way to eliminate the conflicts—sell the company, divvy up the proceeds—has been rejected by Trump, whose transition team refused to respond to any questions from Newsweek for this article.

[...]

http://www.newsweek.com/2016/12/23/donald-trump-foreign-business-deals-jeopardize-us-531140.html
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murat



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PostPosted: Tue Dec 13, 2016 10:50 pm    Post subject: TRUMP = JFK Reply with quote

Wildflower wrote:
Come on Murat, you can hardly compare the conquest of space or energy issues with sexual shenanigans. And JFK was a lot classier than Trump, whose vulgarity knows no bounds. Not that I condone or excuse JFK's marital infidelities, but you are really comparing apples and oranges, and the comparison is unfair to JFK's memory.

That article was from Yahoo News:

Bill Gates says Trump has the opportunity to be like JFK
Matthew J. Belvedere

https://www.yahoo.com/news/m/717a1119-3b33-30d4-a06c-108b600bb36e/after-talking-with-trump%2C.html

I added sex and romance just to be playful. I knew it would get your gander up. super grin
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murat



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PostPosted: Wed Dec 21, 2016 11:01 pm    Post subject: The Pentagon makes a tour around the world Reply with quote

The Pentagon makes a tour around the world
by Manlio Dinucci

Thank you everyone. That is what the US Defense Secretary has just told his allies. You have enabled us to succeed in propagating war across almost the entire Middle-East and Ukraine. We are still the masters of the world provided that the President-Elect, Trump, readily accepts pursuing our legacy.

14 DECEMBER 2016

The tour kicked off on 3 December in California where Carter delivered the closing remarks to the “Reagan Forum”, that bestowed upon him the prize for “Peace through Force”.

Then Carter went to Japan, where he inspected US troops and met the Defense Minister, Inada. Japan, which contributes 1.6 billion dollars per year to the stay of 50,000 US soldiers on its territory, is particularly important as an advanced base of US missile systems lined up against China for “defensive aims” and, the Pentagon specifies, is an ally capable of defending other countries that may be attacked”.

From Japan, Carter flew to India, which is now the second [largest] buyer in the world (after Saudi Arabia) of US arms: a result of Washington’s strategy which aims at weakening India’s relations with Russia, threatening the Brics group, attacked at the same time through an “institutional” coup in Brazil.

The head of the Pentagon then proceeded to Bahrain, where he participated in the “Dialogue of Manama” organized by the International Institute of Strategic Studies, an influential British think tank financed by the Emirates with more than 38 million dollars. Speaking on the “logic of the American strategy in the Middle East”, Carter brought home the point that this region is home to more than 58,000 US soldiers, more than 5,000 of which are on the ground in Iraq and Syria, “not only to tackle terrorists such as members of Isis, but also to protect our interests and those of our allies” (which is why the US and the Gulf monarchies, as has been amply documented, have secretly supported Isis, functional to their strategy in Syria and Iraq). The accusation that Carter levelled against Russia is that it has not fought Isis in Syria but simply “inflamed the civil war and prolonged the suffering of the Syrian people”. He then went on to say, since “Iran continues to line up missiles”, the United States, together with the other allies, is constructing a “regional missile defence”, which includes a powerful radar in Qatar, Thaad missiles in Emirates and other missile systems (which actually are not for self-defense, but for aggression, given that the same launching pipes can be used for missiles for attack, including nuclear ones.

From Bahrain, Carter made his way to Israel, where yesterday he participated with the Defense Minister Lieberman at the ceremony [marking] the arrival of the first two F-35 fighters for the Israeli Air Force, symbol of the increasingly close partnership with the USA, “which reached unprecedented levels following the 10 year agreement for assistance signed last September”.

From Israel, the Head of the Pentagon will arrive today in Italy for a two day visit to US troops which have been stationed here with the mission – declares an official document – of “supporting US operations and their coalition on a global scale, including deterring Russian aggression in Eastern Europe and strengthening Nato’s southern flank”.

The global tour, which will conclude in London on 15 December with a meeting of the “anti-Isis coalition”, has a very specific political aim: to reaffirm on the eve of the delivery, the Obama Administration’s strategy, which the Democrat, Clinton, should have pursued, so that the fronts of tension and war at the South and the East might remain alive. This is the legacy that Obama, the Democrat, leaves to the Republican Trump.

At least Trump has the merit of not being awarded the Nobel Prize for Peace.
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Xuân Phong



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PostPosted: Thu Dec 29, 2016 2:17 pm    Post subject: Why Donald Trump Keeps Dissing America’s Allies Reply with quote

http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2016/12/29/why-donald-trump-keeps-dissing-america-s-allies-in-europe-and-asia.html?via=newsletter&source=DDAfternoon

Why Donald Trump Keeps Dissing America’s Allies in Europe and Asia
His venal approach to world affairs is an extension of his own personal ethics, or lack thereof.
James Kirchick
12.29.16 1:03 AM ET

U.S. contribution to NATO common funded budget: $685 million.

Cost of U.S. Nimitz Class aircraft carrier: $8.5 billion.

Unprecedented peace and prosperity in Europe and Asia: Priceless.

For a man who assesses everything in terms of dollar signs, it’s no surprise President-elect Donald Trump sees global alliances as just another form of deal-making. One of the few consistent themes in Trump’s rhetoric going back decades has been a belief that America is being ripped off by the rest of the world. Trump’s conception of the national interest is an extremely narrow and pecuniary one with no time for considerations like common values.

Trump fails to grasp that while you can certainly put a price tag on military commitments to our allies, the value of preserving the liberal world order—which the United States built after World War II and has sustained ever since—far outweighs the numbers on any balance sheet. Indeed, even if our allies in Europe and Asia paid substantially less, or even nothing, toward their own defense, our alliances with them would still be worthwhile.

The American-led international system spans the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans, having arisen from the ashes that were the European and Asian theaters of World War II. Under American tutelage and with its substantial largesse, vanquished enemies Germany and Japan were transformed into economically robust democracies. Today, both countries host large American military installations and they are the nexuses of U.S.-led alliance systems in their respective regions. At a time when rival powers like China and Russia are challenging the international norms governing, respectively, freedom of navigation (near the Senkaku island chain) and the territorial integrity of nations (in Ukraine), the U.S. role in upholding a rules-based global order is as critical as ever.

Previous American presidents have seen value in European and Asian alliances; however, Trump detects a swindle. Japan and South Korea, after all, are wealthy countries; why does the U.S. have to protect them from a predacious China and an unpredictable North Korea? “At some point,” Trump argues, “we have to say—‘You know what?’—we’re better off if Japan protects itself against this maniac in North Korea. We’re better off, frankly, if South Korea is going to start to protect itself.” Asked how Japan could “protect itself” should the U.S. withdraw its military presence from the region, Trump entertained the idea of Tokyo obtaining nuclear weapons, upending decades of American non-proliferation efforts.

Trump’s facts are wrong when it comes to the basics of the U.S.-Japan alliance. Tokyo annually pays Washington $2 billion in host-nation support to offset the costs of our military installations and stationing troops—to say nothing of all the money it funnels to American defense contractors for jets, missile-defense systems, and other military hardware. Furthermore, our military forces in Japan are not stationed there solely, or even primarily, for that country’s territorial defense but rather to maintain the balance of power against China, which is manifestly in America’s interest. Not for nothing did a former Japanese prime minister once refer to his country as an “unsinkable aircraft carrier” for the United States. All this suggests we would not be “better off” leaving our Asian allies to pursue independent nuclear arsenals and fend for themselves against an aggressive and revisionist Beijing.

Trump’s remarks about the European component of the liberal world order—the NATO military alliance in particular—are even more alarming. To be sure, presidents of both parties have long lamented the stinginess of European military budgets. (Earlier this year in Germany, for instance, President Obama complained that “sometimes Europe has been complacent about its own defense.”) But Trump is the first to suggest that our treaty obligations under the alliance’s mutual defense pact be conditioned upon members “paying their bills.” Understanding an alliance like NATO only in monetary terms misses its purpose completely. Take Denmark, which like most NATO members does not spend the recommended minimum 2 percent of its GDP on defense. Yet more Danish soldiers died per capita as part of the NATO mission in Afghanistan—undertaken in solidarity with the United States after terrorist attacks committed on our soil—than any other alliance member. Surely, that sacrifice in blood should count for at least as much as expenditures in treasure?

Yes, European countries ought to spend more for their own defense, not merely out of respect for the perpetually put-upon American taxpayer but also their own military preparedness. But this obsession with money fails to account for the true value of the Atlantic alliance, which lies beyond the financial contributions of its members. Today, thanks in no small part to the endurance of NATO, Europe is home to countries that both share our democratic values and are some of our biggest trading partners.

In treating foreign relations like a protection racket whereby nations seeking our friendship must pay tribute, Trump fails to comprehend both the nature and function of alliances—namely, how they’re valuable regardless of whatever monetary benefit they accrue us. How does one possibly enumerate the dollar value of something so intangible as the liberal world order, a vast system of security, trade, and diplomatic arrangements maintained by the forward deployment of American military forces and an interlocking web of institutions, treaties, and customs?

We take the international system for granted because its advantages—America’s return on investment, as our real-estate mogul president-elect might put it—manifests themselves in an absence of the political destabilization and armed conflict that plague other parts of the world, as opposed to the more tangible benefit of, say, a tax cut. Dependable alliances are a force multiplier for the United States, allowing us to achieve international goals that would be much more difficult, if not impossible, to accomplish on our own. Having troops deployed overseas, for example, allows us to project our power, deters adversaries, and is far less costly and logistically complex than shipping them out from the U.S. every time a crisis occurs.

Because Trump’s worldview is utterly transactional and devoid of values, he cannot help but see foreign policy as a form of bartering exchange, yet another venue in which to cut his vaunted “deals.” Trump appears not to understand why we have friendly relations with a country like Germany (whose chancellor was one of the only world leaders he criticized by name during the campaign) and a strained one with Russia (whose murderous dictator he repeatedly praises and implores we ought “get along with”). For all his carping about China, Trump fixates solely on that country’s economic competitiveness and perceived duplicity, not its authoritarian system or repression of religious believers and other minorities. Indeed, Trump once praised the regime’s “strength” in violently suppressing the 1989 Tiananmen Square protest.

Trump’s venal approach to world affairs is an extension of his own personal ethics, or lack thereof. By all accounts, the president-elect does not have any real friends, that is, people whose company he seeks for anything other than business transactions and other forms of personal gain. Friendships, like alliances, require sacrifice, and Donald Trump has never sacrificed anything for anyone.

American foreign policy has always involved a competition between values and interests. Never before, however, have we had a president who so plainly speaks as if the latter utterly precludes the former. Usually, our values and interests are aligned. Indeed, if there’s anything we ought to have learned from the 20th century it’s that we have a stake in consolidating and expanding the community of democracies. Peace and prosperity in regions once wracked by nationalism and war, ensured by America’s overseas engagement, redounds inestimably to our benefit regardless of how much cash our European and Asian allies pay us.
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Herald


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PostPosted: Sat Jan 07, 2017 1:43 pm    Post subject: France, Russia and USA Reply with quote

Wary of Trump, Le Pen Embraces Putin
BY Christopher Dickey
While cautious about fully embracing Donald Trump, France’s far-right leader Marine Le Pen is unabashed about her defense of Russia against the West. Will this herald the return of the Franco-Russian Alliance?

PARIS—Marine Le Pen, 48, who could very possibly be the next president of France, speaks positively but with a certain reserve about U.S. President-Elect Donald Trump. It’s the kind of hesitation one hears when someone talks about a potential ally or partner who might, just might, be crazy. Because Trump does give that impression in Europe and, whatever one might say about her, Le Pen does not.

So, for all the general approbation she’s expressed about Trump’s election, and all the nice things Trump counselor Stephen Bannon has said about her Front National party, and especially about her comely young niece Marion Maréchal-Le Pen (“Europe’s New Rock Star of the Right,” as Breitbart headlined), according to Marine Le Pen, “nobody” in her party “has had relations … with Mr. Bannon or any other member of the provisional administration of Donald Trump.”

In fact, the mention of her niece and Bannon seemed to set Marine Le Pen off her stride. There are some figures in the Front National, she said, who have longstanding ties to a few Republican leaders, but not exactly to Trump. “Me, I… I …” she said, hesitating and calculating, “I think that these relations will deepen when I will have been elected president.”

So Trump, Bannon, and her niece seem to be points of some confusion for Marine Le Pen. But in an hour-long conference with the Anglo-American Press Association here which ignored almost entirely the likely opponents she will face in the French presidential elections next April, there were two figures she spoke about with perfect clarity: Hillary Clinton, who seems to represent everything she hates; and Russian President Vladimir Putin, who appears to be able to do no wrong. Indeed, she often seemed to be reciting Kremlin talking points.

Asked whether Russian cyber espionage and hacking might pose a threat to French elections, Marine Le Pen turned the question to a vitriolic diatribe describing Clinton as the chouchou—the pet or darling—of all the interests Le Pen claims to be fighting.

The cyber attack scenarios sketched by the American intelligence community are hypotheses about nefarious plots that sound like old diatribes in which “whenever something bad happens the Russians are the reason,” said Le Pen.

[...]

The only moment she seemed off balance was when we mentioned her niece, Marion, who has sided with her father, Jean-Marie, who founded the Front National and spent years playing the press with feints at fascist rhetoric. Marine, looking for a broader constituency, expelled him from the party and at least since then her relations with “Rock Star” Marion are said to be testy. The internal feuding in the Front National is the talk of the town.

Ironically, for all of Marine Le Pen’s skill at mobilizing a large part of the French electorate, her enumeration of Clinton’s sins, and her photographic memory of Russia’s virtues, her family feuds may be her party’s fatal flaw.

That’s a common analysis in France these days.

But, like the common analyses before Brexit and before Trump, maybe that’s just wishful thinking.

http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2017/01/06/france-s-far-right-is-wary-of-trump-but-head-over-heels-for-putin.html?via=newsletter&source=DDAfternoon
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PostPosted: Thu Jan 12, 2017 10:13 pm    Post subject: Le Pen spotted at Trump Tower Reply with quote

http://www.cnbc.com/2017/01/12/french-presidential-candidate-marine-le-pen-spotted-at-trump-tower.html

French right wing presidential candidate Marine Le Pen spotted at Trump Tower
Fred Imbert, CNBC

Le Pen, an opponent of open immigration, has made headlines over the past year because of her anti-European Union rhetoric, which echoes that of Brexit leader Nigel Farage. The press pool camped out at Trump Tower saw her there Thursday morning.

Le Pen's appearance before cameras at Trump Tower coincides with a pre-primary debate taking place back in France among French Socialist Party candidates. White House Press Secretary Sean Spicer told NBC News that Le Pen was not meeting today with President-elect Donald Trump or with any other members of the transition team.

In a November interview with CNBC, the leader of the National Front party said France has suffered "tremendous losses" in many sectors, adding it needs a strategic plan bring it back to its feet.

Several market analysts fear that if Le Pen wins the French election in April, it could lead to the fall of the European Union. France is one of the five largest economies in the European Union.

According to a poll Thursday, Le Pen led the first round of voting by 1 or 2 percentage points.

The poll, however, also said Le Pen would handily lose in the second round of the election to center-right candidate Francois Fillon.
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PostPosted: Thu Jan 12, 2017 11:25 pm    Post subject: Marine Le Pen at Trump Tower Reply with quote

Marine Le Pen at Trump Tower: Only for the food?
By James McAuley

PARIS — Marine Le Pen, the leader of France’s far-right National Front and a contender in the country’s upcoming presidential election, was seen at Trump Tower in Manhattan on Thursday.

The details of Le Pen’s visit were not immediately available. According to a media pool report, she declined to say whether she would meet with Donald Trump while she was there.

Aides to the president-elect quickly insisted that she would not: Sean Spicer, Trump’s press secretary, subsequently retweeted a CNN report in which he had said that Le Pen would meet neither with Trump nor any members of his transition team.

“Trump tower is open to the public,” Spicer said.

And yet Le Pen’s visit fits into a recurring pattern of the Trump transition period: a foreign populist leader somehow appearing at Trump’s headquarters before the president-elect has met with the actual leaders of the countries concerned.

Just three days after the U.S. election, Trump received Nigel Farage , the interim head of the United Kingdom Independence Party (UKIP) and the principal advocate of the “Brexit” campaign for Britain to leave the European Union.

Furthermore, Le Pen has been among the most vocal foreign supporters of Trump since his election, heralding his victory as a democratic choice that could “bury the old order” and serve as a steppingstone to “building tomorrow’s world.”

As a candidate in France’s upcoming presidential election in late April and early May, Le Pen has couched her campaign as a potential next chapter in the populist wave in the Western world that fueled the Brexit vote and Trump’s victory.

Aside from her appearance Thursday morning in Trump Tower’s basement cafeteria, links between Le Pen’s campaign and the Trump team had already been established. In November, Stephen Bannon, the former executive chairman of Breitbart News and now Trump’s chief strategist, reach out to the Le Pen family in hopes of “working together.”

Marion Maréchal-Le Pen, the niece of Marine Le Pen, wrote on Twitter in November that she enthusiastically accepted Bannon’s invitation.

On the eve of the French presidential election, ties between the formerly fringe National Front party and the president-elect of the United States immediately caused significant anxiety.

Thursday’s reports of Le Pen's appearance at Trump Tower fanned fears that her platform — marked by hostility to immigrants, the desire to cozy up to Vladimir Putin’s Russia and a dogged insistence on taking France out of the European Union — could soon be legitimized.

Although an actual meeting between Trump and Le Pen could not be confirmed, political analysts in Paris said they worry more about the likely alliance to come, especially after Trump’s inauguration next week.

For Dominique Moïsi, co-founder of the French Center for International Relations (IFRI), this "would be the end of the transatlantic alliance, and the end of the European Union as a club of values." He added, "It would be the end of a period, the end of a world.” Eek

For the moment, Le Pen is rising in opinion polls in advance of the French election. She appears likely to reach the second and final round of the vote.
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PostPosted: Fri Jan 13, 2017 8:46 pm    Post subject: Marine Le Pen & Trump Reply with quote

Steve Bannon Knew About Marine Le Pen’s Trump Tower Party, Organizer Claims
Team Trump denied it had anything to do with French extremist Marine Le Pen’s visit to Trump Tower. But she was caught on camera meeting with an associate of Donald Trump.
Gideon Resnick
01.12.17 10:00 PM ET

One particular visitor to Trump Tower caused quite a stir on Thursday.

In the morning, French National Front leader Marine Le Pen was spotted drinking coffee in the lobby of the building. The leader of France’s right-wing extremist party was with three other men, including Guido (George) Lombardi. To the reporters on-site, Lombardi described himself as a friend and neighbor of Trump—and nothing more. This was not an official rendezvous, Lombardi assured them. Just a chit-chat between like-minded people.

In a phone interview on Thursday night with The Daily Beast, however, Lombardi told a different story. He said he let incoming White House senior counselor Steve Bannon know about the visit before it happened.

“He said, ‘Oh great, don’t worry about it,’” Lombardi told The Daily Beast, referring to Bannon. When pressed further, Lombardi said, “[Bannon] said more but I can’t tell you what he said. Let’s just say it was positive.”

Additionally, Lombardi claimed that he mentioned a prospective meeting to Trump recently, telling him: “If you want to meet her [Le Pen], you can say something.” Lombardi claimed that Trump told him to let him know if she ever came to the United States.

It turns out Lombardi is more than just a resident of Trump Tower and a member of Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago Club in Florida. He is also named as the co-founder of Citizens for Trump on the group’s website.

In December, Lombardi described himself to Politico as a liaison between Trump and far-right parties in Europe.

“I’m in contact with just about everybody,” he told Politico. In that same article, the National Front’s American representative, Denis Franceskin, said that Lombardi was a “go-between.” “He is part of the [Trump] network.”

Franceskin said it was only a matter of time until Le Pen would get her audience with the next president of the United States.

http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2017/01/12/steve-bannon-knew-about-marine-le-pen-s-trump-tower-party-organizer-claims.html?via=newsletter&source=DDAfternoon
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PostPosted: Mon Jan 16, 2017 5:40 pm    Post subject: European Leaders React to Donald Trump's Interviews on NATO Reply with quote

European Leaders React to Donald Trump's Interviews on NATO, Russia, Brexit

European leaders reacted today to a wide-ranging interview with U.S. President-elect Donald Trump that touched on a variety of European issues from NATO to Brexit.

In the interview with German newspaper Bild and The Times of London, Trump again called NATO “obsolete,” said he’d make a trade deal with Britain “very quickly,” and predicted other nations would leave the European Union after Britain’s historic Brexit vote last June.

US Troops Enter Poland, 1st Deployment at Russia's Doorstep

What You Need to Know About NATO Amid Donald Trump's Skepticism

Here’s how European leaders are reacting to Trump’s latest comments.

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/european-leaders-react-donald-trumps-interviews-nato-russia/story?id=44806362
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